What About This “Double-Dip” Thingy? [ October 16th, 2010 ] Posted in » Financial Ideas

For the last few months, this term has been thrown around with almost complete disregard for the likelihood of it happening. But first of all, what is it?

It refers to a fairly significant pull-back in the economy, specifically in the major stock market indices such as the Dow and the S&P 500, as well as consumer sentiment about the near future, very shortly after a previously significant pull-back followed by a partial recovery. To make it simpler, picture a “W” in your mind, where the middle of the “W” doesn’t come completely back to the top, and pretend it’s a graph of the economy.

OK, so that’s what it is, and it’s what we hear about almost every day if we tune into any financial broadcasts or news programs. “This group of economists is saying…..”

So could it really happen? Sure it could happen. It did happen in 1981.

A more relevant question, though, would be “Is it very likely to happen?”

To that, the answer is “no”. In fact, since the Great Depression which began in 1929, the United States has had 12 recessions, including the most recent one in 2008 – 2009. In those 12 recession, we have had exactly 1 double-dip – the aforementioned 1981. And anyone who remembers 1981 also remembers runaway inflation exceeding 15%, home mortgage rates and CD yields in that same range.

This was the direct result of the Federal Reserve jacking up interest rates quickly in an effort to curb inflation and it didn’t work – so we can effectively blame that sole double-dip on something the government caused to happen – and that’s not happening now.

Bottom line? You have better things to think about. Go do that.

Want to know more? Schedule a no-obligation phone consultation at http://www.whattoinvestinnow.com.

Let’s talk, and create a plan that’s right for you and your family.

Why Shouldn’t I Use A Discount Brokerage?


This is a really great question, especially since many of the most popular investment books available today say exactly the opposite.

They tell you that you can do it yourself, and for a lot less money, and you know what? They’re right! But as you probably suspect, there’s a hidden catch that they’re not telling you about. The catch is you.

You see, most of us are really skilled at one or more things, but there’s thousands of things we could be skilled at. I could walk down the street and stop any one of you and find out maybe that you’re a top-notch web designer, or a first-rate auto mechanic, or that you run an Alaskan fishing expedition, or any number of other possibilities that I don’t do.

Could I learn Adobe’s Photoshop and InDesign? Sure. Would that make me a web designer? Nope. Could I go to a nearby technical college and learn how to be an auto mechanic? Yes, but that wouldn’t make me a good one. And in the interest of full disclosure, I do my fishing at the local Kroger. I could certainly save some fees on those tasks by doing them myself, and so mathematically the do-it-yourselfers are correct, but that’s not really the issue when it comes down to it.

So can you invest by yourself and save some fees? Read More …

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June 22nd, 2010 | 25 Comments

College Investing – Where Do I Start?

Lifetime Career Earnings:  H.S. Graduate Vs College Graduate

Finally, an easy question!  I wish I could say that the answer was just as easy to take, but it’s not, because college costs continue to go through the roof.
When I do a forecast for anyone saving for college, whether it’s for themselves later on or for their children or grandchildren, I forecast the college tuition inflation rate to be no less than 7%, which is twice the average inflation rate for the rest of the economy.

So, the biggest and hardest part to get through is going to be how much you might have to save and how early you might have to start.

In my neighborhood, there are dozens of young families Read More …

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October 22nd, 2009 | Leave a Comment

How Can I Educate Myself About The Stock Market?

Learning the Rule of 72

Learning the Rule of 72

Before we go there, I think the first question here really is: “Why should I even invest at all?” The underlying answer that most of us have to that question, even if we don’t say it, is: “That’s too risky. I know people who have lost everything doing that.  I’m not that dumb, I’ll just save in a savings account.”

Learning the Rule of 72

So the first answer to educating yourself is to ask yourself: “Do I know what the Rule Of 72 is?” and “How does it affect me, anyway?”

What Is The Rule Of 72?

The Rule Of 72 goes back at least many hundreds of years.  Luca Pacioli, an Italian mathematician, referenced it sometime during the 15th century as a convenient way to determine how long it takes your money to double, assuming you know the interest rate it earns. Luca didn’t explain the rule much, meaning it probably goes back even further than that, but the principle still holds true today.

Here’s an example:  start with any amount of money; let’s say $100.00 to be simple.  Read More …

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October 6th, 2009 | 15 Comments

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